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Risk Levels and Bank Behaviors During COVID-19

August 4, 2020 Gita Thollesson

As the ripple effects of the Covid-19 pandemic have permeated the U.S. and global economies, bankers are wondering just how severe the fallout will be. The focus of bank executives has shifted dramatally from a just a few short months ago, when they were most concerned about waning loan demand and revenue challenges. Indeed, the current uncertainty – fueled by a prolonged shutdown, a phased reopening, and then a multi-state pause in those reopening plans – has made the prospect of severe credit losses all but inevitable.We took a closer look at the data, to get a better sense of how much risk banks are facing, and how well they’re adjusting to the changing conditions. We wanted answers to the following questions: As the ripple effects of the Covid-19 pandemic have permeated the U.S. and global economies, bankers have shifted their focus from concerns about waning loan demand and revenue challenges to dealing with the prospect of severe credit losses.

In this report, we took a closer look at the data, to get a better sense of how much risk banks are facing, and how well they’re adjusting to the changing conditions

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